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Friday, July 24, 2020 | History

2 edition of Long-range forecasting of maximum ice extent on the Great Lakes. found in the catalog.

Long-range forecasting of maximum ice extent on the Great Lakes.

Jeffery C. Rogers

Long-range forecasting of maximum ice extent on the Great Lakes.

by Jeffery C. Rogers

  • 386 Want to read
  • 18 Currently reading

Published by Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, Environmental Research Laboratories in Ann Arbor .
Written in English

    Subjects:
  • Long-range weather forecasting.,
  • Ice forecasting.,
  • Ice on rivers, lakes, etc. -- Great Lakes (North America).

  • Edition Notes

    Bibliography: p. 12-13.

    SeriesNOAA technical memorandum -- ERL GLERL-7, GLERL contribution -- no. 55
    ContributionsEnvironmental Research Laboratories (U.S.)
    The Physical Object
    Pagination15 p. :
    Number of Pages15
    ID Numbers
    Open LibraryOL22432063M

    Rogers, Jeffery Charles.. Evaluation of techniques for long-range forecasting of air temperature and ice formation. (GLERL contribution ; no. 60). Ann Arbor::Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, Environmental Research Laboratories,, lakes in the system during the ice-free season, except for Lakes and , which were measured year-round. The catchment of Lake includes three subbasins drained by first-order streams. The northwest subbasin is small ( ha), gently sloping toward the lake, with aCited by:

    Page 3 of 5 - May Observations and Discussion - posted in The Great Lakes and Great Plains: Fog all day today here. Had about 4 or 5 rumbles of thunder here and a wave of rain a few minutes ago. It did touch 50° today - 95% of the day in the 40s though. Looks like the warm front is hung up from just north of Peoria to Kankakee currently. Great Lakes Restoration: How? How Soon? FRIDAY, AP P.M.– P.M. Page 9 PREV PAGE TOP OF DOC L.V. EBERHARD CENTER GRAND VALLEY STATE UNIVERSITY WEST FULTON STREET GRAND RAPIDS, MICHIGAN – Purpose.

      Page 3 of 13 - June Observations and Discussion - posted in The Great Lakes and Great Plains: If BAMwx tweets and long range CPC and CFS are to be believed, you folks up north are toast through July with STJ trying to undercut the dome at . Great Lakes ice documentary premieres Saturday in Detroit. 3/18 - The documentary “Project: Ice,” which tells the story of the Great Lakes through the prism of ice, viewed from the crossroads of history, science and climate change, will receive its world premiere at the Freep Film Festival this weekend in Detroit. The film will be shown at.


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Long-range forecasting of maximum ice extent on the Great Lakes by Jeffery C. Rogers Download PDF EPUB FB2

Long-range forecasting of maximum ice extent on the Great Lakes iv, 15 p. (OCoLC) Material Type: Government publication, National government publication, Internet resource: Document Type: Book, Internet Resource: All Authors / Contributors: Jeffery Charles Rogers; Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory.

LONG-RANGE FORECASTING OF MAXIMLIM ICE EXTENT ON THE GREAT LAKES Jeffery C. Rogers A technique, based on prewinter thawing and wintertime freezing degree-days, has been developed for making long-range forecasts of the percert maximum ice extent on the Great Lakes.

The rumber of thawing degree-days is known by. Get this from a library. Long-range forecasting of maximum ice extent on the Great Lakes. [Jeffery Charles Rogers; Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory.].

The maximum accumulation of FDD is during early March in the Hudson Valley and near the Great Lakes. The average maximum extent of ice cover on eastern Lake Erie, 88%, is during late February (Assel, ), while the average maximum cover of ice on Lake Ontario, 18%, is 3 March (Rogers, ).Cited by: 3.

GREAT LAKES STATISTICS & OTHER RESOURCES. Average Surface Water Temperature & Great Lakes Ice Concentration. Great Lakes Monthly and Seasonal Accumulations of Freezing Degree Days: Winters (NOAA Tech Memorandum GLERL ) GLERL Great Lakes Ice. GREAT LAKES ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LABORATORY.

These links to the Great Lakes Coastal Forecasting System -- Nowcast/Forecast pages include: current observed ice cover, wind, and air temperature; model-derived ice thickness, ice velocity, vessel icing, surface currents, and water temperature.

Note that some of these products are still under. See long range weather forecasts for the next 60 days for the Lower Lakes Region. The Old Farmer's Almanac's extended forecasts can be used to make more informed decisions about future plans that depend on the weather, from vacations and weddings to gardening, hiking, and other outdoor activities.

An analysis was made to develop long-range (day) prediction models of ice cover on Beginning Of Month (BOM) date for the Great Lakes. Lake averaged ice covers were calculated for each Great Lake for BOM dates in January, February, March, and April for winters to and statistics for these data were analyzed (average, median, maximum.

CWG’s Matt Rogers computed U.S. summer temperatures for the 5 years with the highest and lowest peak ice extent over the Great Lakes, since   This measure of ice extent is a non-linear and curtailed measure of the amount of ice in the Greenland Sea, but gives an overall view of the amounts of ice there through more than years.

The length of the series allows insight into the natural variability of ice extent and this understanding can be used to evaluate modern-day variations.

N.B. Per the University of Bremen: Thin sea ice occurs during the freezing season. In the melting season, the thickness of sea ice is highly variable and the emission properties in the microwave change due to the wetness of the surface and occurrence of melt ponds in the Arctic.

Title: Report on a Long-Range Forecasting Study Author: Olaf Helmer-Hirschberg, Theodore J. Gordon Subject: Description of an experimental trend-predicting exercise using the Delphi technique and covering a time period as far as 50 years into the future.

Henderson Harbor 33 Wilson Bay Temperature sites underlined GREAT LAKES ICE THICKNESS PREDICTION Table 1 lists the temperature station locations and, directly under each location, the ice measurement sites using temper atures at that location for develop ment of regression equations for that ice measurement by: 8.

The long-range forecasting study that the two researchers completed in was at the time the largest Delphi, and undoubtedly also the most influential, because it received wide public attention. The National Weather Digest, ISSNwas published from It was devoted to peer-reviewed articles, technical notes, correspondence, and official news of the Association.

Listed below is an Author's Index of all published Digest articles, along with links to PDF files. • Pivotal Weather • Tropical Tidbits • Great Lakes Coastal Forecasting System. Clouds & Precipitation • WPC • WPC Long Range Discussion.

Severe Weather Forecasting • NCEP • SPC: Convective Outlooks Categories. Great Lakes Wind/Waves • NWS Great Lakes Forecasting Site • Surface Temperature: • GLERL-Lake. Estimating the maximum and minimum sea ice extent, before it occurs, is a important tool for developing and implementing near-term public policy.

Examples include: cultural/subsistence planning, biological monitoring, shipping schedules, other commercial activities, regulatory implementation, and national security planning. Answer: A) short-range, medium-range, and long-range 7) A forecast with a time horizon of about 3 months to 3 years is typically called a: A) long-range forecast.

Great Lakes Weather Forecast. Current weather and long term forecast for Great Lakes, IL. Start studying Exploring Geology, Chapter Learn vocabulary, terms, and more with flashcards, games, and other study tools. The harmful algal bloom (HAB) season is also long over in the region.

The final Lake Erie HAB Bulletin was sent out on Oct. 11, as the Microcystis had declined in satellite imagery and toxins decreased to low detection limits in samples. In the seasonal assessment, sent out by NOAA’s Centers for Coastal Ocean Science on Oct.

26, it was determined that the season saw a relatively mild bloom.Home > Graphical Forecasts > Central Great Lakes: This graphical forecast page is planned to be replaced by the map viewer now operationally available at Operational Polar Ice Forecasting.

including a 3 per cent per decade northerly retreat of the ice edge or extent at the end of the summer season (Figure 1).

Book ()Book. chapter -~$ (b) NRL.